From BNP Paribas MBS trading desk:
"MTGS - are under pressure into the treasury rally. Lower
coupons are lagging 10yrs by 3 to 4 ticks, and after adjusting for lower vol OAS' are 4 bp wider. Higher coupons are getting
smashed, 5 s and higher are down in price on the day. Flows
on the quiet side and we are seeing a small amount of
origination in 4% and some overseas buying. We have shortened durations another 10% this morning and believe performance will be directional. Until we see a spike in origination, we don't
expect any massive widening in a selloff. Current coupon is
meaningless as FN 3.5% are at 100-10 and nothing has traded on
screens today and less than 10mm yesterday. We are a better
seller of 4% and 4.5% outright."
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